Despite the
historic drought that crushed US corn crops this summer, today's feedstock
report from the USDA projects record worldwide corn supplies for 2012/2013. Thank the Brazilians. "Brazil’s corn exports for trade year 2012/13 are
raised over 30 percent this month to a record 19.0 million tons,
supporting an increase in forecast corn trade and a sharp reduction in
U.S. exports to the lowest level in almost 40 years," wrote the USDA. That will translate into record foreign corn supplies of 673.5 million tons.
Here's what the story looks like in graph form:

From the report:
Brazil reportedly shipped a record pace
of corn exports in September 2012 of over 3 million tons, boosting
estimated 2011/12 exports 0.7 million this month to 12.7 million. Brazil
has demonstrated that without soybeans and products taking priority for
ports and other transportation infrastructure, it can ship very large
volumes of corn if prices are attractive. From October 2012 to February
2013, Brazil is expected to ship large volumes of corn, with a secondary
increase in August and September 2013 if soybean shipments tail off or
transportation bottlenecks are reduced.
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