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When I first read, many months ago, that the notorious US climate
scientist Michael Mann was suing the notorious right-wing bastard Mark
Steyn for defamation, I admit that I felt a little piqued.
Obviously a libel trial is not something any sane person would wish
to court; and naturally I’m a massive fan of Steyn’s. Nevertheless,
after all the work I’ve dedicated over the years to goading Mann, I
found it a bit bloody annoying that Steyn — a relative latecomer to the
climate change debate — should have been the one who ended up stealing
all my courtroom glory.
What made me doubly jealous was that this was a case Steyn was
guaranteed to win. In the unlikely event it came to court — which I
didn’t think it would, given Mann’s longstanding aversion to any form of
public disclosure regarding his academic research — the case would fall
down on the fact that defamation is so hard to prove in the US,
especially when it involves publicly funded semi-celebrities who are
expected to take this sort of thing on the chin.
Since then, though, much has changed. It now looks — go to
Steynonline.com for the full story — as if Steyn is going to be up there
on his own, fighting and financing his case without the support of his
magazine, National Review; that the outcome is not as certain as it seemed at the beginning; and that this hero deserves all the help we can give him.
Why? Well, the fact that I even have to explain this shows what a
cowardly, snivelling, career-safe, intellectually feeble, morally
compromised age we inhabit. By rights, Mann v Steyn should
be the 21st-century equivalent of the Scopes monkey trial, with
believers in free speech, proponents of the scientific method and
sympathetic millionaires and billionaires all piling in to Steyn’s
defence with op eds, learned papers, and lavish funds to buy the hottest
of hotshot lawyers.
Instead, what do I read? Crap like, ‘Steyn’s out of order: he
shouldn’t have been so rude about the judge who mishandled the initial
hearing.’ (OK, maybe he shouldn’t — but what are you supposed to say
about judges who mishandle your case? ‘Nice job, ma’am’?) Crap like,
‘And he’s going to take the National Review down with him.’ (No
he isn’t. That’s what libel insurance is for.) Crap like, ‘Well, he
shouldn’t have used such-and-such a word or written that polemic in
quite so inflammatory and offensive a way.’ (Yes that’s right. Polemics
should be cautious, dry, legalistic, tame. Otherwise people might read
them and have their minds changed.)
So let’s just cut through that crap and remind ourselves briefly what
we know about the plaintiff. Michael Mann was an obscure young
physicist-turned-climatologist who rose without trace in 1998 with the
publication in Nature of his ‘hockey stick’ chart showing dramatic and apparently unprecedented late-20th-century global warming.
There
followed almost instant fame, on which Mann has traded ever since —
gaining tenure at Penn State University, drawing millions in public
funding for research, often called on by the Guardian and the New York Times to sum up the state of climate science. Al Gore used a version of Mann’s hockey stick in his Oscar-winning An Inconvenient Truth. The IPCC used it five times in its Third Assessment Report and promoted Mann to lead author.
But the hockey stick, on which Mann’s reputation largely rests, was
and is a nonsense. It obliterates the medieval warm period; it is unduly
reliant on proxy data — bristlecone pine samples — which are known to
be unreliable; it is dependent on a flawed algorithm which, according to
every statistical authority who has ever looked at the subject, creates
the same hockey-stick data almost regardless of the information you
feed into it.
Surely if you’re going to sue someone for defamation, this must involve an examination of the reputation said to be worth
defending. What would this say about Mann, onlie begetter of arguably
the most comprehensively discredited artefact in recent climate science
history?
And if Mann’s scientific reputation really matters to him so much,
maybe he ought first to do a bit of reading on how world-class
scientists actually behave. He could do worse than read Paul Johnson’s
account in Modern Times of how Einstein proposed his general
theory of relativity. Einstein insisted that before his claims were
taken seriously, they must first be verified by empirical observation,
in the form of three specific tests. Of the final one — the red shift —
Einstein wrote: ‘If it were proved that this effect does not exist in
nature then the whole theory would have to be abandoned.’
Einstein’s rigour and integrity inspired Karl Popper to form his
influential theories on falsification: that a scientific theory is only
useful if it contains the key to its own destruction. This, critics
argue, is the fundamental flaw with anthropogenic global warming theory:
it has been couched in such a way as to be unfalsifiable; it is being
kept alive not by science and free enquiry, but by the kind of appeals
to authority we see exemplified by Mann’s response to Steyn’s
criticisms.
Mann may or may not have a case against Steyn on technical grounds;
but in terms of the bigger argument about empiricism, free speech and
the scientific method, he doesn’t have a leg to stand on. Steyn gets
this and — as he did in his case against the Ontario Human Rights
Committee — is laying his neck on the line not solely because he’s a
show-off and an awkward sod but for the greater cause of western
civilisation. Now go to his website Steynonline.com and read what you
can do to support him.
Column originally appeared in The Spectator.
Issues of concern to people who live in the west: property rights, water rights, endangered species, livestock grazing, energy production, wilderness and western agriculture. Plus a few items on western history, western literature and the sport of rodeo... Frank DuBois served as the NM Secretary of Agriculture from 1988 to 2003. DuBois is a former legislative assistant to a U.S. Senator, a Deputy Assistant Secretary of Interior, and is the founder of the DuBois Rodeo Scholarship.
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4 comments:
It's interesting that the article is no longer on the Spectator.
I hit on the link and it is still there.
Yeah, comin' up on mine now. First three tries a while ago it said not available. Thanks.
Could be the Limeys don't want anyone from Texas reading their stuff.
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