Monday, April 15, 2019

No Home Runs For Ag In 2019, But A Better Outlook Than 2018

Debt-to-asset ratios are on the rise, working capital is eroding and farmers’ sentiments are on the decline. Despite the negativity surrounding prices and outlooks, Famer Mac is providing a voice of optimism. In the an early exclusive of the quarterly edition of Farmer Mac’s “The Feed,” economists say they are more optimistic about 2019. However, Farmer Mac economist Jackson Takach cautions it won’t be a “home-run” year for most producers. “It's not going to be the best year in agriculture,” said Takach. “It's going to be another sort of level-level year in terms of profitability.” Farmer Mac releases its favorability chart per commodity in each edition of “The Feed.” Takach thinks profitability this year will depend on region and will vary widely depending on the crop a person grows or the livestock they produce. Overall, USDA currently projects net farm income will rise by 10 percent, while net cash income is forecast to increase by 4.7 percent.  Despite that increase, USDA is still projecting the farm sector’s working capital will decline and debt-to-asset ratio will trend higher...MORE

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