Tuesday, May 08, 2018

Australia makes its move in global beef market

USDA recently released its twice-per-year look at international beef markets, and projections for 2018 show the largest growth in world beef production since 2006. While the U.S. is contributing a large share to the 2.4% world growth, countries outside of the U.S. are projected to increase output by 1.6% this year, the largest increase for all non-U.S. countries since 2013 and the third-largest since 2007. With U.S. domestic markets already flooded with large supplies of beef, pork and chicken, there is a lot of pressure on U.S. meat export sales to remain strong. More beef supplies worldwide make that objective more difficult. However, delving deeper into the data provides additional insights into the opportunities that lie ahead. The two biggest markets for U.S. beef exports, Japan and South Korea, have accounted for about 45% of total shipments since 2016. Mexico and Canada account for another 25% to 30%. In these markets, our biggest competitor by far is Australia, with New Zealand and Canada also involved but at a lesser extent. While the combined beef output of Canada and New Zealand is expected to fall slightly from 2017, Australian beef output is pegged to jump by 6.1%, due in part to unfavorable pasture conditions that will send more animals to slaughter instead of into rebuilding the herd. Australia’s beef exports are projected to grow by nearly 275 million pounds in 2018...MORE

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